MI_Poll_LogoWomen voters put Carson in the lead, no one else breaks double digits

LANSING, Mich.Ben Carson leads the large field of Republican candidates running for President among voters who say they will vote in the Michigan GOP Presidential primary next March. Ben Carson tops the field with 24 percent followed closely by Donald Trump at 22 percent. None of the other GOP candidates break into double digits while 21 percent of likely GOP primary voters say they are undecided.

“Political experience appears to be a liability in this election cycle with outsiders Carson and Trump combining for 46 percent of the likely vote. Even though the Donald is dominating political coverage of the presidential campaign, the kinder and gentler lesser known outsider Ben Carson holds the lead in Michigan,” said Tom Shields, President of Marketing Resource Group (MRG).

Jeb Bush was the next closest with 8 percent of the vote followed by Mike Huckabee at 6 percent, Marco Rubio with 4 percent, Carly Fiorina and Ted Cruz tied at 3 percent, John Kasich, Rand Paul and Scott Walker with 2 percent and Chris Christie at 1 percent. Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindahl, George Pataki and Rick Santorum all polled less than 1 percent.

Ben Carson holds a 12-point lead among women, pulling 28 percent of the female vote compared to Trump’s 16 percent. Carson trails Trump 20 percent to 28 percent among men.

“Trump has a major problem with women and it accounts for Carson’s narrow lead among all likely primary voters,” continued Shields. “Saying he cherishes women has not made up for his recent comments about Megyn Kelly and Carly Fiorina.”

The actual wording of the question and the results are below.

If the Republican primary for President was being held today, and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, and Scott Walker, for whom would you vote?

GOP

MRG Michigan Poll Spring 2015
The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters was conducted by live interview September 9-14, 2015. The sample was randomly drawn from a listed sample of all registered voters with a history of voting and stratified by city and township to reflect voter turnout. In addition, quotas for gender and cell phone interviews were met within each geographic area, and extra efforts were made to reach African Americans. Thirty percent of the interviews were conducted with cell phone only or cell phone dominate households.

A sample of 600 likely voters in Michigan yields a sampling margin of error of ±4 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. The sampling margin of error for subgroups may be higher depending on the size of the subgroup.

About Marketing Resource Group, Inc.
Lansing, Michigan-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc. (www.mrgmi.com) is an award-winning PR firm representing corporate, association, nonprofit, and private clients with interests in Michigan. MRG offers expertise in public affairs, communications, political campaign management, and public opinion survey research. For more than thirty years, MRG has conducted its bi-annual omnibus Michigan Poll™, tracking the pulse of Michigan voters on key statewide public policy and political issues. MRG is the only Michigan public opinion survey research firm that maintains nearly 30 years of trend analyses of voter attitudes related to state and national leaders, political parties, and the political and economic climate in Michigan.

Follow MRG on Twitter @mrgmichigan and on Facebook.

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