Poll shows ballot proposal has a chance to pass in 2018

LANSING, Mich. – Fifty-eight percent of likely Michigan voters say they would support the legalization of marijuana for recreational use if it were to be regulated and taxed like alcohol, while 36 percent oppose the idea according to the latest statewide poll conducted by Marketing Resource Group (MRG).

 

The strongest support comes from self-identified Democrats and voters under the age of 40, while self-identified Republicans and voters 65-years and older remained opposed to legalization.

Party Identification

  Democrat Independent Republican
Strongly Support 51% 43% 28%
Somewhat Support 20% 9% 18%
Total Support 71% 52% 46%
Somewhat Oppose 5% 7% 9%
Strongly Oppose 20% 34% 39%
Total Oppose 25% 41% 48%

Age

18-39 40-64 65+
Strongly Support 61% 38% 18%
Somewhat Support 16% 18% 16%
Total Support 77% 56% 34%
Somewhat Oppose 5% 7% 9%
Strongly Oppose 15% 28% 52%
Total Oppose 20% 35% 61%

 

“While attitudes toward marijuana may be mellowing, most Republican voters and those 65 and older still are not ready to legalize it,” said Tom Shields, president of MRG. “Support for legalizing recreational use of marijuana has grown from 41 percent in 2013 to 58 percent in just the last four years. I would not be surprised to see a successful ballot proposal within the next few years.”

 

Geographically, the poll showed support over 50 percent in all areas of the state except the tri-cities area of Flint, Saginaw and Bay City and in the northern-lower Michigan counties.

 

“Historically, ballot proposals need to have support over 60 percent when the campaign starts to be able to withstand the potential onslaught of negative advertising from those who oppose it,” said Shields. “We could be on the verge of legalizing marijuana for recreational use, but we’ll have to wait and see how the campaign plays out.”

 

Geographic Location

City of Detroit Balance of Wayne County Oakland County Macomb County Balance of Detroit SMSA Mid-Michigan West Michigan Tri-Cities/Thumb North Lower Michigan Upper Peninsula
Strongly Support 41% 44% 44% 39% 48% 37% 45% 33% 15% 31%
Somewhat Support 19% 8% 16% 22% 23% 19% 15% 16% 24% 34%
Total Support 60% 52% 60% 61% 71% 56% 60% 49% 39% 65%
Somewhat Oppose 3% 9% 5% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 9% 0%
Strongly Oppose 20% 32% 29% 28% 21% 27% 27% 41% 45% 35%
Total Oppose 23% 41% 34% 34% 28% 32% 32% 48% 54% 35%

 

The actual wording of the question is listed below:

Would you support or oppose the legalization of marijuana for recreational use if it was regulated and taxed like alcohol? [IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE, ASK:] Would that be strongly [SUPPORT/OPPOSE] or just somewhat [SUPPORT/OPPOSE]?

 

Strongly Support…………………………………………………………. 41%

Somewhat Support………………………………………………………. 17%

Neither (VOLUNTEERED)………………………………………….. ..3%

Somewhat Oppose………………………………………………………. ..6%

Strongly Oppose…………………………………………………………. 30%

Don’t Know……………………………………………………………….. ..3%

Refused………………………………………………………………………. ..0%

 

TOTAL SUPPORT…………………………………………………….. 58%

TOTAL OPPOSE………………………………………………………. 36%

 

MRG Michigan Poll® Spring 2017

This question on marijuana was a part of the MRG Michigan Poll® Spring 2017 and was not commissioned by any outside 3rd party groups.

The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters was conducted by live interview May 8-11, 2017. The sample was randomly drawn from a listed sample of all registered voters with a history of voting and stratified by city and township to reflect voter turnout. 30% of the sample was conducted with cell phone users. In addition, quotas for gender and cell phone interviews were met within each geographic area, and extra efforts were made to reach African Americans. Thirty percent of the interviews were conducted with cell phone only or cell phone dominant households.

A sample of 600 likely voters in Michigan yields a sampling margin of error of ±4 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. The sampling margin of error for subgroups may be higher depending on the size of the subgroup. Sample size of GOP primary voters = 216 . Sample size of DEM primary voters = 255.

 

About Marketing Resource Group, Inc.

Lansing, Michigan-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc. (www.mrgmi.com) is an award-winning PR firm representing corporate, association, nonprofit, and private clients with interests in Michigan. MRG offers expertise in public affairs, communications, political campaign management, and public opinion survey research. For more than thirty years, MRG has conducted its bi-annual omnibus Michigan Poll®, tracking the pulse of Michigan voters on key statewide public policy and political issues. MRG is the only Michigan public opinion survey research firm that maintains nearly 30 years of trend analyses of voter attitudes related to state and national leaders, political parties, and the political and economic climate in Michigan.

 

Follow MRG on Twitter @mrgmichigan and on Facebook.

 

 

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